Questrade Democratic Pricing - 1 cent per share, $4.95 min / $9.95 max

Nelson Smith

 

Because this might be the only blog in the history of the internet to have not done this at some point, here’s the 2013 Financial Uproar message to collage and high school graduates. PAY ATTENTION, YOUNGINS.

Hey, congratulations. You’ve suffered through years of drudgery to finally get to this point, and I bet it feels good. You’ve listened to the craptacular valedictorian speeches, all the kudos to the parents and the teachers, and some keynote speaker your school brought in because all the cool keynote speakers were too busy doing interesting things. Cliches were said, and you left the ceremony filled with more excitement than that time I thought I had Hayden Panettiere’s address.

Too bad you’re screwed. Sooooo screwed. Rob Ford is less screwed than you, and he smoked crack on video.

Here’s the deal, kids. The economy is in the crapper more than the remains of last night’s kegger. Even crap jobs are hard to come by. Do you know how many of your peers will be applying at Starbucks? ALL OF THEM. They will move back into their parents’ basement and sling coffee for hipster douches who don’t have jobs either, but come to the coffee place because they feel the need to numb their crappy existence for just a few minutes, and apparently fancy coffee is the new opiate of the masses. Don’t become one of those people. If you do, I will personally show up and kick you in the vulva.

Perhaps you luck out, and get a job somewhere better than Starbucks. Maybe your degree was actually useful, and you end up working in an office somewhere. Hell, maybe they’re nice enough to give you a cubicle and a benefits package and two weeks of holidays every year. You get a comfy chair and that blonde from accounting looks great in a tight blouse. Congratulations. Now roll up your sleeves and enjoy the rest of your life, wage slave.

Chances are, you either have student loans or are about to take some out. Sure, you could have stayed at home and taken the cheap educational path, maybe even staying in your parents’ basement to do so. But instead you decided to go to B.S. LIBERAL ARTS COLLEGE WHERE THEY PLAY HACKEY SACK EVERY G.D. MORNING. Instead of a molehill of debt, you’re looking at a mountain of it. Nice work, college dumbass. Remember this when you claim to be the educated one.

Not all is lost though, graduate, but you’re gonna have to start working your ass off. Listen, school is a joke compared to the real world. Going to class is just a distraction from why you’re really there, which is to get drunk and/or stoned and make clumsy attempts to get laid. No professor gives a rat’s ass if you’re slacking it in his class. He’ll just get his graduate student to give you a D and go smoke some reefer.

The working world is a hell of a lot more difficult. Bosses will harass you CONSTANTLY, especially the one filled with moxie who just got promoted. They’ll hold you accountable for crap work. Office politics will slowly crush your soul. Customers will bust your ass for crap that is stupider than you could ever imagine. HR will make you go to six different seminars if you ever touch any of your co-workers. This drudgery will happen day in and day out for years, until maybe you hit 65 and then maybe you can afford to retire. But you probably won’t be able to, since you’ll try and drown your sorrows by buying everything from new cars to vacations to a boob job.

You’re thinking that won’t be you, and you’ll defy the odds and find a good job. You’ll find a job you actually enjoy, and you’ll wake up every morning eager to tackle another day. Oh, you and your deluded ways make me smile. You will wake up one morning, somewhere north of 30, and realize you’re miserable. Trust me, it happens to everybody.

The choices you make over the next few years are really f’in important. You’ve got two choices. You can use your first salary to get ahead or you can use it to dig yourself further into a debt hole. The choices you make now will affect the rest of your life, SO DON’T SCREW THIS UP.

Take this opportunity to pay those student loans off. You’re a 23 year old fresh college graduate, you can handle a few more years living like a college kid. Share a place with your friends, but channel the savings towards debt, not beer. Eat your weight in ramen noodles. Fall in love with delicious tap water. You don’t need a new car. Hell, depending on where you live, you might not need a car at all. Work your ass off to get back to even.

But don’t stop there. Once those student loans are paid off, that’s only half the battle. Now that you don’t have debt hanging over your head anymore, you can really start to save. What are you saving for? After a few years in the workforce, hopefully you’ve figured that out.

I constantly preach for people to pay down debt, no matter the interest rate. The reason is simple – once your debt is slayed, freedom is just around the corner. You can pack up and move to China for a year. You can start your own business. If cars float your boat, you can save up and buy a fancy one. It’s a whole lot easier to do the things you want without debt hanging over your head.

You have to take care of your debt first. There’s no shortcuts, no warp whistle you can use to skip steps. The only way you’re going to accomplish this is by working your ass off and taking care of your obligations. You owe it to yourself to be responsible before you tackle your dreams. Self sacrifice makes achieving the goal that much sweeter.

Go and do all the stupid crap you’ve dreamed of doing. Go experience the world, or share everything with a group of friends closer to home. Go try to mate a pig and a cow. Take a chance and move to a new place. Take a stab at running your own business. Do whatever the hell you want. Once you take care of your debt, a whole world of opportunity opens up. Seize it, and separate yourself from the other cubicle dwellers. Freedom is the goal. Do everything you can to get there.

 

 

Finally, it’s summer here in the Great White North. IT’S ABOUT DAMN TIME. I am enjoying the crap out of this because in 20 minutes it will snow again. This leads to a Canadian’s favorite hobby, complaining about the weather. Apparently the choices are free healthcare or no snow in May. You can’t have both.

Every Canadian likes to take advantage of this nice weather by spending time outside, usually while sipping adult beverages on someone’s patio. Knock yourself out, but I’m not about to piss away my cash on alcoholic beverages. Beer tastes like bottled ass, and I’ve don’t understand how booze adds to the underlying mix. I’ll have a vodka and coke, but hold the vodka.

Anyway, here are my top 5 non-alcoholic patio drinks. You can add yours in the comments, but that doesn’t make them any less wrong.

5. Coke Zero – It tastes just like Coke, but with zero calories. What’s not to like? NICE TRY, DIABETES.

4. Water – The traditional choice. Refreshing and delicious. Trent Hamm approves.

3. Dairy Queen milkshakes – Hey, remember how we avoided diabetes by drinking the Coke Zero? Drink a few of these bad boys and you’ll be needing to regulate your insulin in no time. Pro-tip: give the cherry on top to your girl. It’s just empty vitamins, and the gesture will get you, at a minimum, a little touching under the table.

2. McDonald’s Smoothies – The blueberry pomegranate one is outstanding. And, since it’s got fruit in it, you can pretend it’s good for you. Go ahead, order the large.

1. 7-11 Slurpees – I don’t know what it is about 7-11, but their frozen slushies are better than anything else on the market. Macs tries, but they just can’t get the mixture right. Slurpees are the crack cocaine of the frozen pop world. Once you’ve had one, you’re looked forever. You’ll take to stealing car stereos to continue the buzz. ROB FORD APPROVES.

Song I Like And Therefore You Should Too

iTunes made me download an update today. It did nothing. I blame the ghost of Steve Jobs.

The lead singer of Weezer is named Rivers. And his brother is Leaves. That’s weird.

Simpsons Quote

Homer: Don’t let Krusty’s death get you down, boy. People die all the time, just like that. Why, you could wake up dead tomorrow! Well, good night.

Gambling Is Fun

Ho-hum, another 2-1 week, which improves my record over the last 6 weeks to 14-4. No, I will not give you gambling tips. No, I will not move to Atlantic City with you so we can gamble on sports all day and then become more than just friends even though we’re both dudes.

Who’s playing Houston? WHO CARES. Houston will lose and I will get the win. I’m also going to go with the New York Rangers, plus the goal and a half, against the banged up Boston Bruins. And finally, I’m taking the Spurs, minus 4.5, against the Grizzles. Hey, remember when the Grizzlies were in Vancouver? No? Didn’t think so.

Overall record: 108-113-9

A Post You Might Have Missed

I know you want to, but please don’t go back and pleasure yourself while reading my old posts. That’s kinda creepy. You may, however, enjoy my archives while enjoying a cold beverage. Or even a hot beverage. BUT NOT A TEPID ONE. I WILL HUNT YOU DOWN AND CHOP OFF YOUR PINKY.

I wrote about the limits of frugality. And then I made a vomit joke and about six sex jokes. All in a day’s work.

Nelson’s So Funny

BEHOLD! MY GREATEST TWEET EVER!

You guys only gave me two retweets for that one, and I had to beg for one. I hate you all.

The More You Know

I’ve moved the location for the rest of this link dump from my couch to my friend’s couch. There is a baby and two dogs. I’m not exactly sure what to do, except to continue to steal content from Wikipedia.

Wendel L. Clark (born October 25, 1966) is a retired Canadian professional ice hockey player. He is perhaps best known for being a member of the Toronto Maple Leafs of the National Hockey League (NHL), captaining the team from 1991 to 1994. During this time, he was often referred to as “Captain Crunch,” as he played a very physical and intense style of hockey.

This friend wants everyone to know Wendel Clark was born in Kelvington, Saskatchewan. I’m sure Kelvington is a craphole. Is craphole hyphenated?

Dirty Word In Words With Friends

Reader Soxi played ‘hooker’, which made me quite excited, mostly because I assumed she was buying me a prostitute. Alas, she was not.

If you want to play, I will get unreasonably excited when you play dirt. My username is ‘nelsmi’.

Babe Loosely Related To Finance

I cannot believe the sheer number of women who seek the attention of slack-jawed idiots on the internet. I salute you all, even though I have no idea why you do what you do.

the-sc-481

All the preverts reading this blog approve.

Time For Links

I started making the switch from Google Reader to Feedly. It was terrible and I hate change. Instead of using a kickstarter to buy the Rob Ford crack tape, we should use those funds to convince Google to keep Reader. I will contribute this blog’s entire earnings for a month. That’s right kids, four American dollars.

Anyway, let’s start off the links with JT over at The College Investor, with a decent look at merger arbitrage. What the what? Don’t worry, just click through and see all the details. You might learn something. Or not, if you can’t read.

Want a beginner’s guide on how book value works? Mochi has your ass covered, jack. Or maybe it’s underwear that has your ass covered. Unless you’re going commando, I guess.

Next up is Adina from Timeless Finance, who pokes a few holes in the argument that moms deserve some high salary for all the stuff they do. See, moms have to quote ridiculous stuff like their job is worth $161,000 a year in the real world because getting paid jack squat to look after rugrats all day has to be painful.

Want to go to Disney World? If you do, Million Dollar Journey has some tips on how to save cash. Serious question: Disney has to be the worst place in the world to pick up chicks, right? They’d all either have kids or be there with their husbands. Nobody goes to a Disney resort alone.

And finally, from my new favorite blog, Spring Personal Finance, comes this piece on how frugality isn’t necessarily a virtue. And hey, good news. It’s written by a woman I can awkwardly hit on.

Have a good week everyone.

 

Or NAMBLA for short.

Hey, remember a couple of months ago when we discussed how you can easily beat the market? Since I know you’re not going to click back and read that, let me give you the condensed 411. (411 is what the kids say instead of ‘info’. I know this because I was cool, once, in 1997. That was a glorious day.) All you need to do is buy stocks that are trading at low price to book or price to earnings values, and you will outperform the market. Assuming, of course, you can find a way to buy every undervalued stock.

Us stock pickers can’t do that, and unfortunately there’s no ETF available that just buys stocks with low price to book values. That ETF would be complex and confusing and would make a grown man weep, perhaps a little more than usual if that man was me. So we research, spending time and energy trying to find stocks that are the best of the cheapest, since cheap stocks are usually cheap for a reason.

But forget about that. How about we look at the cheapest of the cheap stocks? So I decided to run a little stock screener, looking for stocks that traded for less than the cash they had on hand. From there, I had to filter further, taking out companies with a bunch of debt, since that kind of goes against the spirit of this exercise.

From there, I took away every Chinese reverse takeover, since nobody wants to wade back into that mess. And that’s it.

I came up with this list on Sunday, so prices will be a little different than listed, but here’s the index, in all it’s glory.

Screen Shot 2013-05-16 at 10.19.59 PM

This new index is simple. It takes equal weightings in each stock, and the few that pay dividends are counted towards the total. Every three months, we’ll have a look and see how it’s performing compared to the broad markets. Next May 1st we’ll punt this index and start a new one.

Check out some of the trash on that list. Real Networks? Remember the Real Player, that media player from 1997? Apparently that still exists, and is sitting on a whole bunch of cash. There’s Emerson Radio, one of my entries in the 2013 stock picking contest. There are quite a few biotech companies on there with no revenue. There’s an online stockbroker and something that looks like it makes knock-off Apple products. That is one crap index.

And I think it’ll beat the market.

The logic is simple. A company trading at less than cash means the market values the business at nothing. You can’t get any more pessimistic about a stock than that. The market is just killing time until the business runs out of cash and goes bankrupt. There’s little doubt in my mind that some of the stocks in the index will end up going bankrupt. There will also be some gigantic winners. My thought is the winners will more than make up for the losers.

So let’s find out. Is beating the market as easy as running a stock screener and blindly buying companies trading below their cash level? I don’t know, but let’s try it before I get bored.

 

 
He's not very handsome, until you realize he's worth about $500M.

He’s not very handsome, until you realize he’s worth about $500M.

That’s Steve Forbes, the owner of the Forbes publishing empire, who is unfortunately not my grandfather. He’s pretty active in politics these days, running in the Republican presidential primaries in 1996 and 2000. He lost both times, but not before spending something like 35 million dollars of his own money. Not such a good investment there, huh Stevie?

Recently, while trolling the internet for porn investment ideas, I came across a company called Enduro Royalty Trust. In November 2011, Euduro decided they’d raise some money from some property they had. They created a royalty trust, keeping 60% of the 33M shares issued in the IPO. In exchange for letting them produce on the land, the trust gets 80% of the net profits from any oil or natural gas pulled out of the ground.

The trust has very little in expenses. Over the last year they’ve paid about $1M in expenses compared to $55M in revenue. Oh, if only all businesses could enjoy margins so succulent. That leaves $54M in profit to be paid out to unitholders, which works out to a dividend yield of 9.32% on the $16.52 share price.

The company was paying out 14 or 15 cents a month for a while, but weakness in the natural gas market has dipped the payout to the 12 cent range. They only paid out 7 and 6 cents respectively over February and March, weakness the trust blames on slow payments from the parent company. It’s a little concerning, but whatevs. We’ve got some bigger problems coming up.

But first, let’s see what Steve’s magazine thinks about the trust:

Enduro Royalty Trust NDRO +0.73% (NYSE: NDRO) has been named as a Top 10 dividend paying energy stock, according to Dividend Channel, which published its weekly ”DividendRank” report. The report noted that among energy companies, NDRO shares displayed both attractive valuation metrics and strong profitability metrics. For example, the recent NDRO share price of $15.87 represents a price-to-book ratio of 0.8 and an annual dividend yield of 9.42% — by comparison, the average energy stock in Dividend Channel’s coverage universe yields 4.6% and trades at a price-to-book ratio of 2.7.

Uh, are they really comparing it to the average energy stock? It’s completely different than the average energy stock, since it’s making no efforts to buy new oil supply to replace the stuff they take out of the ground. A royalty trust pays out all of its profits. Most oil companies use a lot of their profits to buy new supply.

The report also cited the strong monthly dividend history at Enduro Royalty Trust, and favorable long-term multi-year growth rates in key fundamental data points.

The strong dividend history? It’s been consistently going down since the latter half of last year, and February and March’s dividends were about half of  January’s. It should recover, like I mentioned above, but the trend of randomly cutting dividends should concern investors. Especially since the trust has been in existence for a year and a half and it’s the first time late payments have delayed the dividend.

The annualized dividend paid by Enduro Royalty Trust is $1.494216/share, currently paid in monthly installments, and its most recent dividend ex-date was on 04/26/2013.

Based on 11 to 12 cents a month going forward, that dividend drops to somewhere between $1.32 and $1.44 per share. The trust needs an improvement in energy prices (mostly natural gas prices) to be able to pay 13 or 14 cents a month. That could happen, but a company like Pengrowth will give you a better gain if nat gas prices improve significantly.

But here’s what this Forbes “article” really missed: the depletion of the assets.

Let’s take a look at the value of the assets of the trust.

  • Q1 2012 – $694.98M
  • Q2 2012 – $677.05M
  • Q3 2012 – $660.66M
  • Q4 2012 – $637.65M
  • Q1 2013 – $618.30M

Over the past year, the trust has depleted $76.68M worth of reserves. That’s a hair over 11%.

But wait. The company only paid out a 9.32% dividend last year, and that was all their net profits. Oh, and that depletion percentage is going to go up over subsequent years, assuming they continue to deplete assets at the current rate.

I’m assuming the strategy of the trust is to deplete assets faster during times when prices are lower, trying their hardest to maintain the distribution. Once prices go up they’ll make more money and they can slow production somewhat. Still, we’re looking at a maximum of 10 years of reserve life left, and a dividend yield of under 9.5%. Hmm.

This trust boils down to being paid to wait for an increase in natural gas prices. You’ll do a lot better if you invest in a Pengrowth Energy or a Penn West. Both those companies pay equivalent dividends, and you’ve got the potential for greater capital gains when commodity prices bump up.

And assuming you’ve made it this far, this is yet another lesson on the importance of doing research. That Forbes article was a special kind of useless because all it did was take some numbers off a stock screener and present them as information. Screeners can be helpful, but only as preliminary research. You’ve got to do your own heavy lifting.

 

I’ve used the Mythbusters picture in a previous post, so allow me to present a picture of Kari Byron this time around, the sexiest of all the Mythbusters. Sorry Adam Savage.

Nice try, science, but even Kari can't make you sexy.

Nice try, science, but even Kari can’t make you sexy.

There are all sorts of financial myths out there. Unfortunately for us, there isn’t an entertaining show to debunk them all while showing gratuitous explosions. You’ll just have to make due with my half-hearted jokes and full-hearted farting. The smells that come from my ass have been known to kill flowers.

On that awkward note, let’s move to the subject du jour. (Ooh, French.) That subject is the lack of understanding of certain financial concepts, even though they’re relatively simple and the underlying topic is relatively understood. This lack of understanding stems from a few things, including not understanding finance of business, letting emotions get in the way of logic, and just being kind of a dumb-dumb. Bonus points to the first person who retorts with “no, you’re a dumb-dumb” in the comments.

Don’t sweat it if you’ve bought into some of these financial myths. Like I said, they’re common, and the important part is to never make them again. Let’s see what they are.

1. Saving For Something While You Still Have Debt

If I had a nickel for every person who has made a version of the following statement, I’d have enough to buy the Pittsburgh Pirates.

“I didn’t take out any additional debt to pay for my vacation, so it’s responsible.”

Allow me to present a very simple net worth statement of most people who make that statement.

Assets: $5,000 – cash

Liabilities $15,000 – student loans

On the surface, they look like they’re in good shape. They’ve got the cash to pay for the vacation (oh lord, it’s always a vacation) and they’re not taking on additional debt to do so. What’s the problem?

The problem is that cash should really be used to pay down the student loans. If it was used responsibly, our imaginary person’s net worth would be down to -$10,000. Instead, the $5,000 gets spent and the student loans are still at -$15,000. In essence, all you’re doing is borrowing to go on vacation.

Pretty much any debt besides a mortgage can be paid off early with only benefits to the borrower. By not paying down the debt with the available cash, you’re paying extra interest. And borrowing to consume is going to destroy wealth every time, no matter how cultured your trip to Southeast Asia makes you.

And then, in a delightful twist, the same people who do stuff like that will loudly proclaim their disapproval of people financing their vacations. The irony amuses me. I know my opinion on this is more unpopular than herpes at an orgy, but you shouldn’t be going on vacation when you have a negative net worth.

2. I’m Debt Free Except…

How often do you hear people proclaim “I’m debt free?! Well, except my student loans/car loan/mortgage/that loan I took to finance my personality transplant.”

This one is more of a pet peeve of mine and not so much a myth, but screw it. Let’s go with it.

Yes, rates are low, and yes, you might have gotten a smokin’ deal on your car loan, but that still represents money you have to pay back. And in most cases, it represents a crapload of money you have to pay back. People basically exclude big loans like that because they’re huge commitments, and thinking about being in debt for another decade or so is the origination of the frowny face emoticon.

But by constantly excluding it in your mental accounting, you’re minimizing the loan’s impact on your finances. And chances are, a big loan has the biggest impact on your finances. I pay $1,500 a month on my mortgage. Don’t you think I’d rather spend that $1,500 on Spice Girls memorabilia? I’m busting my ass paying that bad boy down.

3. I’m in no hurry to repay debt. My interest rate is only ‘x’.

There are two things wrong with this financial myth:

a) Pissing away money that would normally go towards paying down debt is dumb, no matter what the interest rate is.

b) Generally, the rate you’re paying on cheap debt is (AAA rated company debt rate) + (1-2%). It doesn’t matter if your mortgage is at 3% or 7%, all you’re paying is a small premium over what you can get as an investor on the other side of that transaction. You will always pay that because there are 1.8 million banks competing for your business. (Or you’re a dumbass who doesn’t take time to shop around.)

Rather than looking at the interest rate, look at the difference between the interest rate and the risk free return. You will always get a premium return paying down your debt over investing in a risk free asset.

Yeah, I realize leverage exists, and fell free to ignore some of this if you’re being smart with your leverage. And no, buying a Toronto condo is not being smart with leverage.

4. 0% Financing

Interest free financing doesn’t exist for cars. You get either 0% financing or a unspecified amount of cash back. And these days, it’s more likely to be 0.9 or 1.9% financing.

If you buy a $30,000 car and have the option of $1,500 cash back or 0% financing, it’s pretty obvious it’s not being financed at 0%. It’s just being added onto the price of the car.

As for those “don’t pay for a year” store sales, those can sometimes offer actual true 0% financing. Providing you pay it off in the year provided and there’s no application fee, you’re off to enjoy your 0%, thanks to some credit card taking the risk that you’ll take forever to pay the thing off. Considering how I wouldn’t spend that much money on crap at a store anyway, I’d probably just hand over the cash and be done with it. Collecting the interest spread on a couple thousand bucks for a year just doesn’t excite me, especially considering the rewards points I’d get on a credit card if I just used it.

There are probably more financial myths out there, but my Mommy is taking away my laptop because I spread chocolate chip cookie dough all over my naked body and then invited the cat over to eat it. Feel free to add some in the comments.

© 2012 Financial Uproar Suffusion theme by Sayontan Sinha

Switch to our mobile site